2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,537 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Condo
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,169
Tax + insurance
−$787
HOA
−$1,900
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,302
Net cashflow
$-1,958/mo
Annual
$-23,501/yr
Cap rate
3.34%
Cash-on-cash
-10.56%
DSCR
0.53
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$222,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $795k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-24k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $449k (43.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $620k (22.0% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($771k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $449k (43.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 226 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $117k; list at $795k implies a 579% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.3% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,200/mo this rent would consume 97% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 5508% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29