New Haven II Plan

Edmond, OK 73007

$418,700D-

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,320 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Active · 797 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,015/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,397
• Tax + insurance: −$762
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$633
• Net cashflow: $-776/mo
• Annual: $-9,317/yr
• Cap rate: 4.25%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.28%
• DSCR: 0.68
• 1% rule: 0.66%
• Cash to close: $127,971

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $419k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-776 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $345k (17.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $302k (28.0% below list).
• It's been on market 797 days — a 12% lower offer ($368k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $302k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $49k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $46k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in OK, #2,383 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F.
• Edmond (suburban): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #11 of 270 in OK (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$79k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.4% in Edmond — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 797 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.