3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,161/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$311
HOA
−$56
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$454
Net cashflow
$-49/mo
Annual
$-592/yr
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.80%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-592/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (3.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (18.4% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $216k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Jim Thorpe Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #394 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Penn-Kidder Campus (math 18% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,518 statewide, top 73%, 571 students, 62% FRL); Jim Thorpe Area Hs (math 62% / reading 75%, grade B, #53 of 437 statewide, top 13%, 565 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 38% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Jim Thorpe Area SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 457 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PXGFBM3RMF8J9Q
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29