3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 147 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,344/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$750
Tax + insurance
−$130
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$282
Net cashflow
$182/mo
Annual
$2,185/yr
Cap rate
7.82%
Cash-on-cash
5.46%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$40,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $143k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (6.0% below list).
It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($989 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#207 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Tunica County School District (rural): math 13% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #110 of 130 in MS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Tunica County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tunica County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (7.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PXZDNC27R35ZM4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29