1235 Jacks Ave · Tunica, MS
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$143,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1235 Jacks Ave in Tunica, MS is a solid opportunity for a buyer ready to put their own touch on a property. This home offers a convenient location and plenty of potential, whether you're an investor or someone looking for a project. The property is being sold ''as is''! Purchase options include cash or a conventional bank loan. This could be a great fit for someone looking to renovate, add to a rental portfolio, or create value through updates.
Key facts
- 0.6 acre lot
- Built 1965
- Listed 147 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $143k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (6.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#207 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Tunica County School District (rural): math 13% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #110 of 130 in MS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Tunica County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($989 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
- Tunica County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.46%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,378
- List price
- $143,000
- Delta
- -28.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1029 Brandon Cv | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (+1%) | 6mo | $51,800 | $36 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $65,179
- Equity at exit
- $103,022
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.51×
- Total profit
- $180,405
- Equity at exit
- $199,359
Cash invested: $40,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38676
- Home prices YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,344 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$750
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $842/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,750
- Closing costs
- $4,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $143,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $143,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $143,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $143,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $143,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $143,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $143,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $143,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $143,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $143,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-01-19$143,000 Active 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
1235 Jacks Ave in Tunica, MS is a solid opportunity for a buyer ready to put their own touch on a property. This home offers a convenient location and plenty of potential, whether you're an investor or someone looking for a project. The property is being sold ''as is''! Purchase options include cash or a conventional bank loan. This could be a great fit for someone looking to renovate, add to a rental portfolio, or create value through updates.
-
2024-04-01historical
-
2024-03-04price $140,000
-
2024-01-04status Active
-
2024-01-01historical
-
2023-12-31price $170,000
-
2023-08-29$177,000 Active
-
2005-05-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $842 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,130 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$288/yr (+$24/mo · 34.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,128
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,010
- − Property taxes
- −$842
- − Insurance
- −$715
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,290
- − Management
- −$1,290
- − Depreciation
- −$4,160
- Taxable loss
- −$179
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$43
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,229/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tunica County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2804290
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,099
- Composite
- 11.64/100
- National rank
- #9693
- State rank
- #110 of 130 in MS
Livability — Tunica
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #207
- US rank
- #18414
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,318
Population outlook (Tunica County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,512 people
- By 2030
- 9,080 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 8,232 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 7,406 · -22.1%
- By 2075
- 5,511 · -42.1%
- By 2100
- 3,828 · -59.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Tunica
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.9) · D 68.8% · R 29.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.3pp toward R · 2008: 52.2pp · 2024: 38.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+50.2 2012: D+58.8 2008: D+52.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.42%
- Current HPI
- 120.6957
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-19.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-19 Listed $143,000 MLSU
- 2024-04-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-03-04 Price Changed $140,000 MLSU
- 2024-01-04 Relisted — MLSU
- 2024-01-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2023-12-31 Price Changed $170,000 MLSU
- 2023-08-29 Listed $177,000 MLSU
- 2005-05-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $842 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…