3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,395 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,608/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$728
Tax + insurance
−$355
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$338
Net cashflow
$187/mo
Annual
$2,242/yr
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.77%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$38,892
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($960 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#489 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Ravena-Coeymans-Selkirk Central School District (town): math 45% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #410 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ravena-Coeymans-Selkirk Senior High School (math 92%, 544 students, 41% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.0% in Ravena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-PYRQ137M2X97TQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29