33 Wendell St · Ravena, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$138,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute 3 bedroom ranch, living room, dining room, kitchen, large lot, great neighborhood, close to shopping. Very Good Condition
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1945
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.0% in Ravena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#489 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Ravena-Coeymans-Selkirk Central School District (town): math 45% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #410 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ravena-Coeymans-Selkirk Senior High School (math 92%, 544 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($960 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.77%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $248,310
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Woodlawn Dr | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (-8%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $215 | 77 |
| 18 Wendell St | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (+2%) | 12mo | $300,000 | $211 | 76 |
| 28 Pulver Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,454 (+4%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $189 | 72 |
| 7 Clearwater St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-4%) | 9mo | $126,500 | $94 | 61 |
| 21 Winnie Ave | 0.60mi | 3/3.0 | 1,346 (-4%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $178 | 55 |
| 23 Pulver Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,586 (+14%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $158 | 54 |
| 26 S Clement Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,444 (+4%) | 15mo | $282,000 | $195 | 53 |
| 22 Pulver Ave | 0.31mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,504 (+8%) | 16mo | $231,900 | $154 | 52 |
| 49 S Clement Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-8%) | 14mo | $305,000 | $238 | 47 |
| 39 Mcculloch Ave | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,472 (+6%) | 19mo | $225,000 | $153 | 42 |
| 24 Pulver Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+15%) | 18mo | $220,000 | $138 | 36 |
| 15 Harris Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,256 (-10%) | 15mo | $195,700 | $156 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $87,651
- Equity at exit
- $125,132
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.40×
- Total profit
- $248,956
- Equity at exit
- $269,852
Cash invested: $38,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12143
- Home prices YoY
- 15.0%
- Active inventory
- 27
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,608 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$728
- Tax from tax record
- −$297 /mo · $3,565/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$338
- Net cashflow
- $187
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,725
- Closing costs
- $4,167
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2508 US Route 9W Ravena, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1055 | $1,850 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 31 Central Ave Unit 4 Ravena, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1285 | $1,495 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 9 Main St Unit 2 Ravena, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.70mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-14$138,900 Active
-
2024-04-15historical
-
2024-01-10price $150,000
-
2023-09-19$165,000 Active
-
2009-03-26soldstatus $143,100
-
2009-01-26soldstatus $143,100 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom ranch, living room, dining room, kitchen, large lot, great neighborhood, close to shopping. Very Good Condition
-
2008-12-01historical 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom ranch, living room, dining room, kitchen, large lot, great neighborhood, close to shopping. Very Good Condition
-
2008-10-27$139,900 126-char remark
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom ranch, living room, dining room, kitchen, large lot, great neighborhood, close to shopping. Very Good Condition
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,565 · $297/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,565 · $297/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,294
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,781
- − Property taxes
- −$3,565
- − Insurance
- −$694
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,544
- − Management
- −$1,544
- − Depreciation
- −$4,041
- Taxable income
- $127
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$30
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,212/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ravena-Coeymans-Selkirk Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624150
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,960
- Composite
- 41.63/100
- National rank
- #3427
- State rank
- #410 of 590 in NY
Livability — Ravena
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #489
- US rank
- #8613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ravena, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,462
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Iranian 5% Romanian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 39.00%
- Current HPI
- 299.5178
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-0.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $138,900 Global MLS
- 2024-04-15 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2024-01-10 Price Changed $150,000 Global MLS
- 2023-09-19 Listed $165,000 Global MLS
- 2009-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $143,100 Public Records
- 2009-01-26 Sold (MLS) $143,100 Global MLS
- 2008-12-01 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2008-10-27 Listed $139,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,565 · -28.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…