2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,222 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Condo
· Active
· 220 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,732/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$375
HOA
−$1,092
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$574
Net cashflow
$-278/mo
Annual
$-3,340/yr
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.91%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
1.48%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $185k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-278 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (21.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Lower Merion SD (suburban): math 74% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #3 of 539 in PA (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 40% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.2%/yr); 69 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($186k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of updating
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in need of updating
Minor: flooring
— carpeted floors in living areas
Minor: interior walls
— light-colored walls, some discoloration
CashFlowRE · CFR-PZ4ASRB2V3R766
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29