365 Morgan Creek Rd

Pendergrass, GA 30567

$391,490D-

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,479 sqft · Built 2026 · Other · Pending · 18 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,343/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,053
• Tax + insurance: −$243
• HOA: −$69
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$492
• Net cashflow: $-514/mo
• Annual: $-6,170/yr
• Cap rate: 4.72%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.63%
• DSCR: 0.75
• 1% rule: 0.60%
• Cash to close: $109,617

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $391k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-514 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $301k (23.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (40.2% below list).
• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($386k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $234k (40.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#174 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Jackson County (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #50 of 174 in GA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: North Jackson Elementary School (math 36% / reading 30%, grade F, #567 of 1,228 statewide, top 47%, 687 students, 43% FRL); West Jackson Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #135 of 470 statewide, top 29%, 1,502 students, 28% FRL); Jackson County High School (math 20% / reading 17%, grade F, #254 of 424 statewide, top 61%, 1,833 students, 26% FRL).
• Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,167 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (59 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Jackson County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$67k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.6% in Pendergrass — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.