4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,023 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 248 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,164/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$427
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$454
Net cashflow
$-123/mo
Annual
$-1,479/yr
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.03%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-123 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (8.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (16.8% below list).
It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#466 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 547 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $133k; list at $260k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q02SAYBMMR3JET
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29