4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,998 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,425/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$259
HOA
−$19
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$509
Net cashflow
$301/mo
Annual
$3,610/yr
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.06%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (4.9% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (4.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#353 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Sorrento Primary School (math 42% / reading 49%, grade D-, #169 of 646 statewide, top 27%, 627 students, 63% FRL); St. Amant Middle School (math 35% / reading 58%, grade D+, #41 of 218 statewide, top 19%, 556 students, 50% FRL); St. Amant High School (math 63% / reading 67%, grade B, #12 of 265 statewide, top 4%, 2,411 students, 46% FRL).
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
12 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $145k; list at $255k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q09EHG5X39A4X6
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29