5260 Cicero Dr · Lemannville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seller Offering $5,000 toward closing costs with acceptable Offer. Open Floor Plan, with no wasted space. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, a Great Covered Patio, and a Large Backyard are a few highlights of this home. Of note: Ascension Parish Schools, Flood X (No Flood Insurance Required), Newer AC, and a Storage Shed that will remain with the home.
Key facts
- Newer ac
- Open floor plan
- Large backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $225 (about $18.75/month)
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; Driveway
- Home design: Detached single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.25-acre lot (approx. 82 x 133)
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Wood fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Flooring: Tile; Wood; Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Gas log fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (4.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (4.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#353 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
- Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $145k; list at $255k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.06%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,726
- List price
- $255,000
- Delta
- 2.94%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5247 Hemingway Dr | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,998 (0%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $118 | 84 |
| 40367 Kipling Dr | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 1,998 (0%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $125 | 83 |
| 40406 Fitzgerald Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,998 (0%) | 8mo | $265,500 | $133 | 82 |
| 5345 Faulkner Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,908 (-4%) | 1mo | $239,900 | $126 | 80 |
| 40430 Fitzgerald Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,996 (-0%) | 11mo | $270,000 | $135 | 78 |
| 5302 Courtyard Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,039 (+2%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $167 | 64 |
| 5154 Black River Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,959 (-2%) | 6mo | $399,793 | $204 | 55 |
| 40441 Fitzgerald Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,723 (-14%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $133 | 53 |
| 5486 Courtyard Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,811 (-9%) | 10mo | $385,000 | $213 | 51 |
| 41125 Merrimac Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,831 (-8%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $147 | 48 |
| 6086 Tezcuco Ct | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 | 2,297 (+15%) | 3mo | $405,000 | $176 | 37 |
| 5166 Black River Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,767 (-12%) | 10mo | $359,000 | $203 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.41% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $16,552
- Equity at exit
- $79,262
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $77,958
- Equity at exit
- $99,546
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70725
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,425 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,828/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$19
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $301
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $445 | -5% $373 | +0% $301 | +5% $229 | +10% $156 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $109 | -5% $205 | +0% $301 | +5% $397 | +10% $492 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $429 | -0.5pp $366 | base $301 | +0.5pp $235 | +1.0pp $168 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40450 Hawthorne Dr Darrow, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2045 | $2,250 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 40020 Gadwall Ct Gonzales, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2006 | $2,600 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5207 White River Rd Darrow, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2012 | $2,650 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $19 · $228/yr
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-14status $255,000 Pending 27 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $255,000 Active 27 DOM
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Seller Offering $5,000 toward closing costs with acceptable Offer. Open Floor Plan, with no wasted space. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, a Great Covered Patio, and a Large Backyard are a few highlights of this home. Of note: Ascension Parish Schools, Flood X (No Flood Insurance Required), Newer AC, and a Storage Shed that will remain with the home.
-
2026-06-09days on market $255,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $255,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $255,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $255,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $255,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $255,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $255,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $255,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $255,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$255,000 Active 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Seller Offering $5,000 toward closing costs with acceptable Offer. Open Floor Plan, with no wasted space. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, a Great Covered Patio, and a Large Backyard are a few highlights of this home. Of note: Ascension Parish Schools, Flood X (No Flood Insurance Required), Newer AC, and a Storage Shed that will remain with the home.
-
2026-05-14$255,000 Active 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Seller Offering $5,000 toward closing costs with acceptable Offer. Open Floor Plan, with no wasted space. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms, a Great Covered Patio, and a Large Backyard are a few highlights of this home. Of note: Ascension Parish Schools, Flood X (No Flood Insurance Required), Newer AC, and a Storage Shed that will remain with the home.
-
2025-07-29$254,900 Active
-
2010-11-03soldstatus $144,900
-
2010-10-28soldstatus
-
2010-10-28soldstatus $144,900
-
2010-08-05$139,900
-
2010-08-05$139,900
-
2010-08-05$139,900
-
2010-08-05$139,900
-
2010-03-23$146,000
-
2010-03-23$146,000
-
2009-10-07$1,300
-
2006-02-08soldstatus $133,800
-
2005-07-22soldstatus
-
2005-03-02$133,800
-
2005-03-02$133,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,828 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,828 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,099
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$1,828
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,328
- − Management
- −$2,328
- − HOA
- −$228
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$590
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$142
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,752/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ascension Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -25.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,423
- Composite
- 47.0/100
- National rank
- #2347
- State rank
- #7 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lemannville
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #23060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 995
Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,480 people
- By 2030
- 158,329 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 183,741 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 207,615 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 260,244 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 289,576 · +99.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 28%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Ascension
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.41%
- Current HPI
- 186.9917
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+90.6% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-10 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $255,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $255,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-29 Listed $254,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $144,900 Public Records
- 2010-10-28 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2010-10-28 Sold (MLS) — GSREIN
- 2010-08-05 Listed $139,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-08-05 Listed $139,900 GBRMLS
- 2010-08-05 Listed $139,900 GSREIN
- 2010-08-05 Listed $139,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-03-23 Listed $146,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-03-23 Listed $146,000 GBRMLS
- 2009-10-07 Listed $1,300 GBRMLS
- 2006-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $133,800 Public Records
- 2005-07-22 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2005-03-02 Listed $133,800 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-03-02 Listed $133,800 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,828 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…