2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,320 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,065/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$50
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$635/mo
Annual
$7,619/yr
Cap rate
31.78%
Cash-on-cash
91.01%
DSCR
5.05
1% rule
3.56%
Cash to close
$8,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $635 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $29k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $816 appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#904 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Astoria CUSD 1 (rural): math 6% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #739 of 919 in IL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Astoria Elem School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,043 of 2,056 statewide, top 51%, 130 students, 0% FRL); Astoria Junior High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #550 of 665 statewide, top 84%, 67 students, 0% FRL); Astoria High School (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #357 of 693 statewide, top 54%, 73 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 45% district-wide (45 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Siding
— Weathered and discolored
Minor: Roof
— Aged but appears structurally sound
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown and needs trimming
Minor: Electrical panel
— Old and may need upgrading
Moderate: Flooring
— Worn and could benefit from refinishing or replacement
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Could use updates in terms of finishes
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q0P6RXBEHBTN9H
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29