None bd · 5.0 ba ·
1,932 sqft ·
Built 1894
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,196/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,907
Tax + insurance
−$866
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,301
Net cashflow
$122/mo
Annual
$1,461/yr
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.70%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$208,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $745k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $61/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $620k (16.8% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $620k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#281 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, cost of living F.
Alameda Unified (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #149 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Love Elementary (471 students, 49% FRL); Will C. Wood Middle (610 students, 55% FRL); Alameda High (1,802 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 25% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $200k; list at $745k implies a 272% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.7% in Alameda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,196/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($128k/yr) (locally 3146% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q16BG55JHYCX40
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29