4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,352 sqft ·
Built 1902
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,524/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,136
Tax + insurance
−$290
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$320
Net cashflow
$-223/mo
Annual
$-2,671/yr
Cap rate
5.06%
Cash-on-cash
-4.40%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$60,678
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-223 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#187 in WI, #4,937 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Reedsburg School District (town): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #242 of 342 in WI (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 527 units permitted in Sauk County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.2% in Reedsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q176F618YABGEA
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29