3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Other
· Pending
· 136 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$876/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$514
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$15/mo
Annual
$177/yr
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.64%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$27,440
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $98k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($177/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (10.6% below list).
It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($678 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#147 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Perry County (rural): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #124 of 139 in TN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Linden Elementary (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 952 statewide, top 61%, 303 students, 0% FRL); Perry County High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #294 of 332 statewide, top 91%, 294 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 59% district-wide (59 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Perry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $98k implies a 345% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q3531X2TP7KBSQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29