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4856 Highway 13 S
D+ Composite 48.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$98,000

4856 Highway 13 S · Linden, TN 37096
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Other public records · 136 Days on market
Built 1993 1.90 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 1.9 acre lot
  • Built 1993
  • Listed 136 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 1.9-acre lot; Living area approximately 924 (assessor); Built (existing); Crawl space foundation

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered parking listed; No total parking spaces listed
  • Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank; Electricity available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Hilly, sloped, wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Electric oven

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($177/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (10.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#147 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Perry County (rural): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #124 of 139 in TN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Linden Elementary (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 952 statewide, top 61%, 303 students, 0% FRL); Perry County High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #294 of 332 statewide, top 91%, 294 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 59% district-wide (59 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($678 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
  • Perry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $98k implies a 345% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.64%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$42,233
Equity at exit
$75,422
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
5.44×
Total profit
$121,905
Equity at exit
$150,644

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37096

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$876 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax est. 1.5%
$122 /mo · $1,470/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$184
Net cashflow
$15

Break-even live

Break-even rent $857
Max offer price $98,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-29
    listed $98,000 Active
  3. 2012-03-12
    historical
  4. 2011-05-01
    listed $27,900
  5. 2004-04-29
    soldstatus $22,000
  6. 2001-12-04
    soldstatus $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,511
− Mortgage interest
−$5,490
− Property taxes
−$1,470
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$841
− Management
−$841
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable loss
−$1,471
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$353
After-tax cash flow
$530/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Perry County
NCES district ID
4703390
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,903
Composite
15.44/100
National rank
#9315
State rank
#124 of 139 in TN

Livability — Linden

Score
65/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#13244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,851

Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,645 people
By 2030
7,424 · -2.9%
By 2040
7,008 · -8.3%
By 2050
6,656 · -12.9%
By 2075
5,907 · -22.7%
By 2100
5,253 · -31.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Russian 2% Estonian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Perry

2024 margin
Solid R (+69.5) · D 15.0% · R 84.5%
2008→2024 swing
-60.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -69.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+69.5 2020: R+63.0 2016: R+55.0 2012: R+22.4 2008: R+8.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.15%
Current HPI
339.2223
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1125.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $98,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-03-12 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-05-01 Listed $27,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 2001-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $127 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…