3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,374 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,354/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$104/mo
Annual
$1,242/yr
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.69%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (17.9% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#50 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Pell City (town): math 17% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #67 of 129 in AL (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Iola Roberts Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 388 students, 78% FRL); Williams Intermediate School (math 18% / reading 42%, grade F, #121 of 257 statewide, top 50%, 632 students, 66% FRL); Pell City High School (math 17% / reading 21%, grade F, #181 of 305 statewide, top 60%, 1,171 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 47% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 557 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Clair County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $31k; list at $165k implies a 432% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.5% in Pell City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q3B13BBZZ7BBR2
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29