4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,107 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Townhouse
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,921/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$353
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$613
Net cashflow
$539/mo
Annual
$6,466/yr
Cap rate
8.69%
Cash-on-cash
8.55%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 91/100 on livability (#11 in PA, #48 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+.
Phoenixville Area SD (suburban): math 44% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #88 of 539 in PA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Phoenixville Area Ms (math 22% / reading 68%, grade D, #187 of 512 statewide, top 38%, 937 students, 32% FRL); Phoenixville Area Hs (math 78% / reading 75%, grade A-, #24 of 437 statewide, top 5%, 1,272 students, 27% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask is 218% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $270k implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in Phoenixville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q4MJFH3S8ESQ8V
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29