1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,075 sqft ·
Built 1940
· Townhouse
· Active
· 185 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,010/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$279/mo
Annual
$3,351/yr
Cap rate
10.76%
Cash-on-cash
15.96%
DSCR
1.71
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Nixon Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #618 of 627 statewide, top 100%, 441 students, 97% FRL, charter); Bellingrath Middle School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #252 of 257 statewide, top 98%, 607 students, 96% FRL, charter); Lanier Senior High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 798 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 70% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Montgomery County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 6.2% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen appliances
— outdated and worn
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: exterior siding
— moderate wear
Moderate: windows
— some appear old and may need replacement
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29