2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,072 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 142 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,492/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$283
HOA
−$355
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$313
Net cashflow
$-350/mo
Annual
$-4,204/yr
Cap rate
3.82%
Cash-on-cash
-8.84%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $170k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-350 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (29.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (12.2% below list).
It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#26 in NC, #2,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools (urban): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #85 of 178 in NC (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Idlewild Elementary (math 36% / reading 40%, grade F, #759 of 1,410 statewide, top 54%, 926 students, 100% FRL); Mcclintock Middle (math 31% / reading 31%, grade F, #326 of 475 statewide, top 69%, 1,079 students, 99% FRL); East Mecklenburg High School (math 59% / reading 70%, grade B-, #164 of 535 statewide, top 32%, 2,409 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 49% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 41d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 11,969 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (5,377 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mecklenburg County population projected at +53% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 3.2% in Charlotte — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— Aesthetic update needed
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— Update to modernize space
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29