4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,700 sqft ·
Built 1955
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 152 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,828/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,977
Tax + insurance
−$1,196
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,854
Net cashflow
$802/mo
Annual
$9,623/yr
Cap rate
7.31%
Cash-on-cash
3.62%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$265,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $949k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $802 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $883k (7.0% below list).
It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($835k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $835k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Meyler Street Elementary (628 students, 92% FRL); Alexander Fleming Middle (1,085 students, 87% FRL); Nathaniel Narbonne Senior High (math 28% / reading 56%, grade F, #472 of 1,170 statewide, top 42%, 1,731 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 67% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
9 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $151k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $630k; list at $949k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,828/mo this rent would consume 114% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 1972% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29