3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,555 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 133 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,172/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,520
Tax + insurance
−$378
HOA
−$108
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$666
Net cashflow
$499/mo
Annual
$5,992/yr
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.38%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$81,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $290k).
It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $255k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $59k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $247k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.2% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29