3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,497 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,445/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$257
Tax + insurance
−$151
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$303
Net cashflow
$733/mo
Annual
$8,800/yr
Cap rate
24.25%
Cash-on-cash
64.14%
DSCR
3.85
1% rule
2.95%
Cash to close
$13,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $733 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $46k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $33k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 24.3% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q8XW2M4FHW2M67
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29