4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,487 sqft ·
Built 1946
· Other
· Pending
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,396/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$939
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$48/mo
Annual
$571/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.14%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$50,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $179k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($571/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (22.0% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#424 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Plato R-V (rural): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #198 of 324 in MO (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Plato Elem. (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #413 of 1,115 statewide, top 42%, 255 students, 44% FRL); Plato High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #382 of 521 statewide, top 78%, 282 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 29% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Texas County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.0% in Plato — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q8Z1FH6TDFM6JV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29