3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,604/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$8
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$672/mo
Annual
$8,063/yr
Cap rate
15.78%
Cash-on-cash
33.88%
DSCR
2.51
1% rule
1.89%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $672 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#446 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Eustace ISD (rural): math 32% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #455 of 826 in TX (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Eustace Pri (497 students, 74% FRL); Eustace Middle (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #690 of 1,662 statewide, top 42%, 382 students, 63% FRL); Eustace H S (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #821 of 1,632 statewide, top 53%, 473 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.8%/yr); 1012 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 2.6% in Mabank — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Electrical
— Exposed wiring
Minor: Plumbing
— Exposed plumbing
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q9XX9R2FJ1JBQ8
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29