3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,328 sqft ·
Built 1953
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,519/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$339
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$319
Net cashflow
$415/mo
Annual
$4,983/yr
Cap rate
12.16%
Cash-on-cash
20.94%
DSCR
1.93
1% rule
1.79%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Westmoreland Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #173 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Deforest A Hill Primary School (169 students, 0% FRL); Westmoreland Upper Elementary School (math 60% / reading 68%, grade B, #658 of 2,108 statewide, top 31%, 237 students, 0% FRL); Donald H Crane Junior/Senior High School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B-, #776 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 414 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 24% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 384 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.7% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The satellite image suggests potential roof damage.
Major: exterior siding
— The siding is peeling and the paint is faded.
Major: flooring
— The flooring is worn and likely needs replacement.
Major: interior walls
— The walls have peeling paint, indicating a need for repainting.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— The overall condition suggests they may need maintenance or replacement.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and needs trimming and maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Q9YKG01Y6NRCET
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29