3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,182/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$383
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$458
Net cashflow
$134/mo
Annual
$1,607/yr
Cap rate
6.99%
Cash-on-cash
2.50%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $134 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (5.2% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#390 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Scott County (rural): math 15% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #113 of 139 in TN (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Huntsville Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #496 of 952 statewide, top 55%, 390 students, 0% FRL); Huntsville Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #116 of 333 statewide, top 36%, 243 students, 0% FRL); Scott High School (math 2% / reading 32%, grade F, #225 of 332 statewide, top 69%, 719 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $28k; list at $230k implies a 736% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QB3RW3ANW9D2E4
· Data 56 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29