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2502 Huntsville Hill Rd
C- Composite 51.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$230,000

2502 Huntsville Hill Rd · Huntsville, TN 37755
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 79 Days on market
Built 1971 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property is being sold as is , this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on an acre of land just minutes to town

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1971

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-space carport on main level
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Detached single-family property; 1,536 building area (per tax records)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding, block and frame construction; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot with rolling/irregular slope; Country setting view; Storage building; Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Pantry (kitchen storage)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Pantry; 7 total rooms; Free-standing ventless gas-log fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $134 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (5.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $216k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#390 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Scott County (rural): math 15% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #113 of 139 in TN (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Huntsville Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #496 of 952 statewide, top 55%, 390 students, 0% FRL); Huntsville Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #116 of 333 statewide, top 36%, 243 students, 0% FRL); Scott High School (math 2% / reading 32%, grade F, #225 of 332 statewide, top 69%, 719 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
  • Scott County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $230k implies a 736% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $216,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.99%
Cash-on-cash
2.50%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.27% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$78,727
Equity at exit
$148,587
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
4.48×
Total profit
$224,022
Equity at exit
$272,977

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37755

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,182 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax est. 1.5%
$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$458
Net cashflow
$134

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,012
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $293 -5% $213 +0% $134 +5% $54 +10% $-25
Rent -10% $-38 -5% $48 +0% $134 +5% $220 +10% $306
Rate -1.0pp $250 -0.5pp $192 base $134 +0.5pp $74 +1.0pp $14

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $230,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $230,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $230,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $230,000 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,000 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $230,000 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-04-02
    listed $230,000 Active
  17. 2011-09-28
    soldstatus $27,500 103-char remark
    Show marketing remark (103 chars)

    Property is being sold as is , this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on an acre of land just minutes to town

  18. 2011-08-05
    listed $29,900 103-char remark
    Show marketing remark (103 chars)

    Property is being sold as is , this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on an acre of land just minutes to town

  19. 2011-06-01
    listed $39,900
  20. 2011-04-15
    listed $52,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,178
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$3,450
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,094
− Management
−$2,094
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$2,185
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$524
After-tax cash flow
$2,131/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scott County
NCES district ID
4703720
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,942
Composite
16.97/100
National rank
#9134
State rank
#113 of 139 in TN

Livability — Huntsville

Score
53/100
State rank
#390
US rank
#24449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,980

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,907 people
By 2030
20,108 · -3.8%
By 2040
18,405 · -12.0%
By 2050
16,598 · -20.6%
By 2075
12,607 · -39.7%
By 2100
9,303 · -55.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Asian 2% Black 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Solid R (+79.8) · D 9.8% · R 89.6%
2008→2024 swing
-32.5pp toward R · 2008: -47.3pp · 2024: -79.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+79.8 2020: R+77.5 2016: R+71.7 2012: R+55.0 2008: R+47.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.27%
Current HPI
293.436
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+338.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $230,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2011-09-28 Sold (MLS) $27,500 Knoxville MLS
  • 2011-08-05 Listed $29,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2011-06-01 Listed $39,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2011-04-15 Listed $52,500 Knoxville MLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $422 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…