2502 Huntsville Hill Rd · Huntsville, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property is being sold as is , this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on an acre of land just minutes to town
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1971
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-space carport on main level
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Detached single-family property; 1,536 building area (per tax records)
- Construction: Vinyl siding, block and frame construction; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Corner lot with rolling/irregular slope; Country setting view; Storage building; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Pantry (kitchen storage)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Pantry; 7 total rooms; Free-standing ventless gas-log fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $134 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (5.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $216k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#390 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Scott County (rural): math 15% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #113 of 139 in TN (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Huntsville Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #496 of 952 statewide, top 55%, 390 students, 0% FRL); Huntsville Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #116 of 333 statewide, top 36%, 243 students, 0% FRL); Scott High School (math 2% / reading 32%, grade F, #225 of 332 statewide, top 69%, 719 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
- Scott County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $230k implies a 736% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.50%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.27% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.22×
- Total profit
- $78,727
- Equity at exit
- $148,587
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.48×
- Total profit
- $224,022
- Equity at exit
- $272,977
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37755
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,182 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $134
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $293 | -5% $213 | +0% $134 | +5% $54 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-38 | -5% $48 | +0% $134 | +5% $220 | +10% $306 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $250 | -0.5pp $192 | base $134 | +0.5pp $74 | +1.0pp $14 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $230,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $230,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $230,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $230,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-02$230,000 Active
-
2011-09-28soldstatus $27,500 103-char remark
Show marketing remark (103 chars)
Property is being sold as is , this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on an acre of land just minutes to town
-
2011-08-05$29,900 103-char remark
Show marketing remark (103 chars)
Property is being sold as is , this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home sits on an acre of land just minutes to town
-
2011-06-01$39,900
-
2011-04-15$52,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,178
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,450
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,094
- − Management
- −$2,094
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$2,185
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$524
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scott County
- NCES district ID
- 4703720
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,942
- Composite
- 16.97/100
- National rank
- #9134
- State rank
- #113 of 139 in TN
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #390
- US rank
- #24449
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,980
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,907 people
- By 2030
- 20,108 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 18,405 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 16,598 · -20.6%
- By 2075
- 12,607 · -39.7%
- By 2100
- 9,303 · -55.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.8) · D 9.8% · R 89.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.5pp toward R · 2008: -47.3pp · 2024: -79.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.8 2020: R+77.5 2016: R+71.7 2012: R+55.0 2008: R+47.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.27%
- Current HPI
- 293.436
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+338.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listed $230,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2011-09-28 Sold (MLS) $27,500 Knoxville MLS
- 2011-08-05 Listed $29,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2011-06-01 Listed $39,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2011-04-15 Listed $52,500 Knoxville MLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $422 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…