15 bd · 3.0 ba ·
5,192 sqft ·
Built 1974
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,302/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,910
Tax + insurance
−$1,158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,323
Net cashflow
$911/mo
Annual
$10,927/yr
Cap rate
8.26%
Cash-on-cash
7.03%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$155,400
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $555k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $911 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $304/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $555k).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($488k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $488k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#201 in NY, #3,105 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D.
Cortland City School District (town): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #368 of 590 in NY (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Cortland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cortland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $405k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $155k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 6.2% in Cortland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,302/mo this rent would consume 108% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1488% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29