2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
972 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,008/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$280
HOA
−$472
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$422
Net cashflow
$-241/mo
Annual
$-2,893/yr
Cap rate
4.88%
Cash-on-cash
-5.04%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$57,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-241 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (2.1% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $199k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Windsor School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #107 of 153 in CT (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $72k; list at $205k implies a 184% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QC23TSCDM3Q2Y5
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29