914 High Path Rd · Windsor, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* Renovated in 2026 * Large walk in custom closet. Community in ground swimming pool and playground with basketball court. Conveniently located near Stop & amp; Shop, Target and near I -91.
Key facts
- Basketball court
- Conveniently located
- Playground
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-241 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (2.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Windsor School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #107 of 153 in CT (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $205k implies a 184% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.04%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-48,293
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-60,679
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06095
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,008 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,338/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$472
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$422
- Net cashflow
- $-241
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Phaeton St Windsor, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 873 | $2,200 | $2.52 | 1d | 20 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $205,000 Under Contract 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $205,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $205,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $205,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $205,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $205,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $205,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $205,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $205,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $205,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $205,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$205,000 Active 190-char remark
-
2003-01-17soldstatus $72,100
-
2001-06-22soldstatus $48,000
-
1993-08-04soldstatus $51,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,338 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,362 · $280/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,024/yr (+$85/mo · 43.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,094
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$2,338
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,928
- − Management
- −$1,928
- − HOA
- −$5,664
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$6,235
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,496
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,397/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Windsor School District
- NCES district ID
- 0905220
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,578
- Composite
- 33.23/100
- National rank
- #5521
- State rank
- #107 of 153 in CT
Livability — Windsor
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 29,670
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,670
- Household income
- $105,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 555.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.46%
- Current HPI
- 251.2426
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+302.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Pending — FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $205,000 FSBO.com
- 2003-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $72,100 Public Records
- 2001-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1993-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,338 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…