3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,408 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,911/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$244
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$611
Net cashflow
$1,400/mo
Annual
$16,801/yr
Cap rate
20.27%
Cash-on-cash
49.91%
DSCR
3.22
1% rule
2.33%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $700/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Troy City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #467 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ps 14 (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,277 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 425 students, 76% FRL); Troy Middle School (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #504 of 729 statewide, top 70%, 786 students, 72% FRL); Troy High School (math 95% / reading 77%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,153 students, 64% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 298 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $125k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 5.0% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— The kitchen cabinets show some wear and tear, but are not in critical condition.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— The bathroom fixtures show some wear and tear, but are not in critical condition.
Minor: Roof shingles
— The roof shingles show some wear and tear, but are not in critical condition.
Minor: Exterior siding
— The exterior siding shows some wear and tear, but is not in critical condition.
Minor: Interior paint
— The interior paint shows some wear and tear, but is not in critical condition.
Minor: HVAC components
— The HVAC components show some wear and tear, but are not in critical condition.
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· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29