3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,664 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Coming Soon
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,180/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$236
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$248
Net cashflow
$-116/mo
Annual
$-1,398/yr
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.22%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (13.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (23.8% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $118k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#304 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Jeff Davis County (town): math 37% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #88 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Jeff Davis Primary School (913 students, 79% FRL); Jeff Davis Middle School (math 38% / reading 32%, grade F, #191 of 470 statewide, top 41%, 675 students, 79% FRL); Jeff Davis High School (math 32% / reading 17%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 833 students, 58% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Jeff Davis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jeff Davis County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $83k; list at $155k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 95% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QE0V593093MG7C
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29