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126 N Tallahassee St
D Composite 40.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$155,000

126 N Tallahassee St · Hazlehurst, GA 31539
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,664 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1952 1.43 ac lot Est $148k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

(Imported from ABBR ListingId 19468) This home is a great opportunity for anyone seeking to put a little sweat equity into a property and give it their own decorative touch. It would also be ideal for an investor looking to improve and resale. It features

Key facts

  • Remodeled adu
  • 1.43 acres
  • 1.43 acre lot

Tags

REMODELED ADU1.43 ACRES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking with a parking pad; More than one parking space per unit; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; High-speed internet available; Phone service available
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); Resale property
  • Construction: Built in 1952; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Lot listed as approximately 1.43 acres; Lot features described as 'Other'

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: One-level home; Public records list 1,644 above-grade finished living area; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: No dedicated laundry features listed; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (13.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (23.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#304 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jeff Davis County (town): math 37% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #88 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Jeff Davis Primary School (913 students, 79% FRL); Jeff Davis Middle School (math 38% / reading 32%, grade F, #191 of 470 statewide, top 41%, 675 students, 79% FRL); Jeff Davis High School (math 32% / reading 17%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 833 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Jeff Davis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jeff Davis County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $83k; list at $155k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 95% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,041 (23.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.22%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$148,096
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
34 Jarman St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,678 (+1%) 12mo $235,000 $140 64
36 N Cromartie St 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,677 (+1%) 3mo $126,000 $75 63
10 W First Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,538 (-8%) 4mo $137,500 $89 60
39 N Tallahassee St 0.48mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,736 (+4%) 5mo $95,000 $55 59
49 N Gill St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,551 (-7%) 2mo $145,000 $93 58
14 W Plum St 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,464 (-12%) 12mo $45,000 $31 56
9 Kersey St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,802 (+8%) 7mo $125,000 $69 44
27 Park Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,872 (+12%) 2mo $195,000 $104 43
0.70mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+8%) 18mo $844,685 $469 37
12 Park Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-10%) 23mo $190,000 $127 34
150 N Gill St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,850 (+11%) 23mo $90,000 $49 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$77,004
Equity at exit
$139,636
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
6.36×
Total profit
$232,605
Equity at exit
$301,131

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31539

Home prices YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,059/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$-116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,328
Max offer price $134,427
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-29 -5% $-73 +0% $-116 +5% $-160 +10% $-204
Rent -10% $-210 -5% $-163 +0% $-116 +5% $-70 +10% $-23
Rate -1.0pp $-38 -0.5pp $-77 base $-116 +0.5pp $-157 +1.0pp $-197

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $155,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $155,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-18
    listed $155,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,059 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,059 · $172/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 95% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,165
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,059
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,133
− Management
−$1,133
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$4,127
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$990
After-tax cash flow
$-407/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jeff Davis County
NCES district ID
1303000
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$35,039
Composite
26.48/100
National rank
#7210
State rank
#88 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hazlehurst

Score
62/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#16301

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazlehurst, GA
Population (ZIP)
14,117

Population outlook (Jeff Davis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,544 people
By 2030
14,298 · -1.7%
By 2040
13,871 · -4.6%
By 2050
13,488 · -7.3%
By 2075
12,622 · -13.2%
By 2100
12,020 · -17.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Jeff Davis

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.3) · D 15.7% · R 84.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.7pp toward R · 2008: -47.6pp · 2024: -68.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.3 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+62.9 2012: R+51.1 2008: R+47.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.92%
Current HPI
245.3619
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Coming Soon $155,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-13 Sold (MLS) $83,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-12-17 Listed $69,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,059 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…