3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,130 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,231/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$93
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$92/mo
Annual
$1,109/yr
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.64%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (18.0% below list).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#416 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, schools A-, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Grayson County Public School District (rural): math 68% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #27 of 131 in VA (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grayson County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $36k; list at $150k implies a 317% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QEFVNE1PV27650
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29