718 E Main St · Fries, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- Appreciation +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits in the heart of Fries, VA! This duplex offers flexibility for investors or owner-occupants looking to offset their mortgage. One side of the property is currently occupied by a tenant, while the second unit is vacant and ready for immediate rental or personal use. Located just a block from the New River and the New River Trail, the property is ideally positioned to enjoy all the outdoor recreation Fries is known for, including biking, fishing, and kayaking. Conveniently situated near local amenities including Dollar General and the fire department, the home also offers ample parking with space along the side and rear of the property—an added bonus in town. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or live in one unit while generating income from the other, this property offers a variety of possibilities in a charming small-town setting.
Key facts
- Outdoor recreation
- New river
- Biking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#416 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, schools A-, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Grayson County Public School District (rural): math 68% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #27 of 131 in VA (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
- Grayson County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $150k implies a 317% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.64%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $69,096
- Equity at exit
- $115,549
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.67×
- Total profit
- $196,010
- Equity at exit
- $230,897
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24330
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,231 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $367/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $92
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $150,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-06historical Active Under Contract 886-char remark
Show marketing remark (886 chars)
Opportunity awaits in the heart of Fries, VA! This duplex offers flexibility for investors or owner-occupants looking to offset their mortgage. One side of the property is currently occupied by a tenant, while the second unit is vacant and ready for immediate rental or personal use. Located just a block from the New River and the New River Trail, the property is ideally positioned to enjoy all the outdoor recreation Fries is known for, including biking, fishing, and kayaking. Conveniently situated near local amenities including Dollar General and the fire department, the home also offers ample parking with space along the side and rear of the property—an added bonus in town. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or live in one unit while generating income from the other, this property offers a variety of possibilities in a charming small-town setting.
-
2026-04-17$160,000 Active 886-char remark
Show marketing remark (886 chars)
Opportunity awaits in the heart of Fries, VA! This duplex offers flexibility for investors or owner-occupants looking to offset their mortgage. One side of the property is currently occupied by a tenant, while the second unit is vacant and ready for immediate rental or personal use. Located just a block from the New River and the New River Trail, the property is ideally positioned to enjoy all the outdoor recreation Fries is known for, including biking, fishing, and kayaking. Conveniently situated near local amenities including Dollar General and the fire department, the home also offers ample parking with space along the side and rear of the property—an added bonus in town. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or live in one unit while generating income from the other, this property offers a variety of possibilities in a charming small-town setting.
-
2008-10-23soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $367 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,230 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$863/yr (+$72/mo · 235.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,767
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$367
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,181
- − Management
- −$1,181
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,479
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$355
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,464/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grayson County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101690
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,429
- Composite
- 59.22/100
- National rank
- #942
- State rank
- #27 of 131 in VA
Livability — Fries
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #17459
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fries, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,870
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,252 people
- By 2030
- 13,634 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 12,202 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 10,811 · -24.1%
- By 2075
- 8,069 · -43.4%
- By 2100
- 5,647 · -60.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.2) · D 18.6% · R 80.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -62.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.2 2020: R+61.4 2016: R+57.7 2012: R+37.9 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.16%
- Current HPI
- 213.619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+344.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Contingent — SWVAR
- 2026-04-17 Listed $160,000 SWVAR
- 2008-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $367 · -25.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…