3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,673 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,342/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,295
Tax + insurance
−$524
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$492
Net cashflow
$31/mo
Annual
$375/yr
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.54%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$69,160
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $247k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($375/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (5.2% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $234k (5.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,273 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 232 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $69k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.4% in Beasley — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QF7GVTBJFGFFPT
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29