4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,051 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,694/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$750
HOA
−$75
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$776
Net cashflow
$-266/mo
Annual
$-3,195/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.54%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$125,997
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $450k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-266 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $411k (8.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $369k (17.9% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($436k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $369k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#496 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Grande Park Elem Sch (math 31% / reading 40%, grade F, #510 of 2,056 statewide, top 25%, 637 students, 0% FRL); Murphy Junior High School (math 30% / reading 43%, grade F, #178 of 665 statewide, top 27%, 713 students, 0% FRL); Oswego East High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #104 of 693 statewide, top 15%, 2,836 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 706 units permitted in Kendall County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kendall County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.7% in Plainfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QFKVHXDHED5C9P
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29