3 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 1921
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 167 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,066/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$325
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$644
Net cashflow
$1,048/mo
Annual
$12,577/yr
Cap rate
12.58%
Cash-on-cash
22.46%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $524/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 480 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $115k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $23k; list at $200k implies a 770% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,066/mo this rent would consume 75% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 1906% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29