2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1922
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 248 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,161/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$90
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$244
Net cashflow
$413/mo
Annual
$4,954/yr
Cap rate
12.56%
Cash-on-cash
22.39%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
1.47%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kennedy Academy (math 45% / reading 52%, grade D, #304 of 994 statewide, top 31%, 520 students, 61% FRL); Jackson Middle School (math 3% / reading 8%, grade F, #326 of 330 statewide, top 99%, 528 students, 82% FRL); Riley High School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #293 of 369 statewide, top 80%, 992 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 16% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Bend Community School Corporation average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.7% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant wear and tear visible on the roof.
Major: exterior siding
— Peeling and in need of repainting.
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and in need of maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QHF1R199EDCKXC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29