2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
594 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Land
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,208/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$141
HOA
−$630
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$254
Net cashflow
$-53/mo
Annual
$-641/yr
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.24%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
2.68%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-641/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $37k (17.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $37k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
Colorado Springs School District No. 11 In The County Of E (urban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #56 of 86 in CO (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Jackson Elementary School (math 15% / reading 27%, grade F, #673 of 966 statewide, top 71%, 342 students, 82% FRL); North Middle School (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #121 of 270 statewide, top 46%, 590 students, 63% FRL); Coronado High School (math 32% / reading 58%, grade D-, #139 of 381 statewide, top 36%, 1,305 students, 45% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 52% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 192 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29