3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,406 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,267/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$241
Tax + insurance
−$77
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$683/mo
Annual
$8,199/yr
Cap rate
24.12%
Cash-on-cash
63.66%
DSCR
3.83
1% rule
2.75%
Cash to close
$12,880
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $46k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $683 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $46k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($318 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#569 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Waverly Central School District (town): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #480 of 590 in NY (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tioga County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 24.1% vs local median 4.6% in Waverly — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QJKP3EBGA5JZJM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29