4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,536 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,314/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$507
HOA
−$19
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$486
Net cashflow
$-8/mo
Annual
$-96/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.14%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-96/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (0.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (7.4% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $231k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Jenks (suburban): math 34% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #27 of 270 in OK (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jenks East Es (math 29% / reading 20%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 1,443 students, 0% FRL); Jenks Ms (math 22% / reading 30%, grade F, #79 of 345 statewide, top 24%, 1,831 students, 0% FRL); Jenks Hs (math 40% / reading 49%, grade F, #15 of 447 statewide, top 4%, 3,547 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 28% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 40 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29