3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1959
· Other
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,161/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$244
Net cashflow
$-85/mo
Annual
$-1,022/yr
Cap rate
5.59%
Cash-on-cash
-2.52%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (8.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (20.0% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $116k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#149 in MN, #3,328 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D, employment D, commute F.
United South Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #130 of 301 in MN (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: United South Central Elementary (math 57% / reading 59%, grade C+, #258 of 857 statewide, top 30%, 445 students, 55% FRL); United South Central High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #246 of 471 statewide, top 59%, 333 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 35% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Faribault County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Faribault County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.0% in Wells — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29