3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,700 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,429/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$418
Tax + insurance
−$237
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$473/mo
Annual
$5,680/yr
Cap rate
13.41%
Cash-on-cash
25.42%
DSCR
2.13
1% rule
1.79%
Cash to close
$22,344
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#302 in NY, #4,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Sandy Creek Central School District (rural): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #425 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sandy Creek Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 393 students, 49% FRL); Sandy Creek Middle School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #550 of 729 statewide, top 77%, 186 students, 53% FRL); Sandy Creek High School (math 95% / reading 95%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 213 students, 50% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.3% in Pulaski — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Severe weathering and peeling
Major: roof
— Visible rust and potential leak
Major: flooring
— Worn-out carpet
Major: interior walls
— Painted walls with visible wear
Major: windows
— Old, possibly single-pane windows
Major: foundation
— Signs of settling or damage
CashFlowRE · CFR-QQBK7Z6SRY8JWA
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29