328 Ouderkirk Rd · Pulaski, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$79,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Hardwood floors
- Enclosed front porch
- 2 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Water available; Water listed as public but not connected
- Home design: Single-story; Existing construction; Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Stone foundation
- Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Stone foundation; Built — existing (year not specified)
- Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Gravel driveway; Irregular, rural lot (2 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Two main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heating present; Oil heating; Wood heating; Forced air
- Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Convertible bedroom; Workshop; Partial basement; Basement present; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.3% in Pulaski — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#302 in NY, #4,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Sandy Creek Central School District (rural): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #425 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.42%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $627,882
- List price
- $79,800
- Delta
- -87.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43-45 Lakeshore Rd #43 | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 2,318 (-14%) | 22mo | $509,000 | $220 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.85×
- Total profit
- $63,791
- Equity at exit
- $61,354
- IRR
- 36.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.29×
- Total profit
- $162,888
- Equity at exit
- $122,487
Cash invested: $22,344 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13142
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,429 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$418
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,442/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $473
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $519 | -5% $496 | +0% $473 | +5% $451 | +10% $428 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $361 | -5% $417 | +0% $473 | +5% $530 | +10% $586 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $514 | -0.5pp $494 | base $473 | +0.5pp $453 | +1.0pp $432 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,950
- Closing costs
- $2,394
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
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2026-06-21days on market $79,800 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $79,800 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,800 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,800 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,800 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $79,800 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $79,800 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $79,800 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,800 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,800 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,800 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $79,800 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,800 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,800 Active 27 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,800 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-05$79,800 Active 600-char remark
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2025-11-19historical
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2025-05-10price $89,900
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2024-12-19status Active
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2024-12-19price $97,800
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2024-08-16status Pending
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2024-08-12historical Active Under Contract
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2024-06-14$109,900 Active
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2024-05-31historical
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2024-04-25price $124,900
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2023-07-27price $129,900
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2023-06-23$169,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,442 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,442 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,144
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,470
- − Property taxes
- −$2,442
- − Insurance
- −$399
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,371
- − Management
- −$1,371
- − Depreciation
- −$2,321
- Taxable income
- $4,768
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,144
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,536/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This property requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant investment is needed to address the deteriorating exterior, roof, flooring, and other systems.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Severe weathering and peeling
- Major roof — Visible rust and potential leak
- Major flooring — Worn-out carpet
- Major interior walls — Painted walls with visible wear
- Major windows — Old, possibly single-pane windows
- Major foundation — Signs of settling or damage
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible systems, likely outdated
- Major landscaping — Overgrown lawn and unkempt appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Resale new siding — Enhances curb appeal and durability
- Resale new roof — Fixes potential leak and improves aesthetics
- Resale new flooring — Updates interior and improves comfort
- Resale new windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
- Resale foundation repair — Stabilizes structure and improves safety
- Rental HVAC upgrade — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
- Resale landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Severe weathering and peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · Visible rust and potential leak | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Worn-out carpet | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Painted walls with visible wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| windows · Old, possibly single-pane windows | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| foundation · Signs of settling or damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible systems, likely outdated | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown lawn and unkempt appearance | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 8 items | $120,000–400,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale new siding — Enhances curb appeal and durability ↑
- Resale new roof — Fixes potential leak and improves aesthetics ↑
- Resale new flooring — Updates interior and improves comfort ↑
- Resale new windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
- Resale foundation repair — Stabilizes structure and improves safety ↑
- Rental HVAC upgrade — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Resale landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sandy Creek Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3625650
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,647
- Composite
- 40.78/100
- National rank
- #3642
- State rank
- #425 of 590 in NY
Livability — Pulaski
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #4860
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 6,568
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,568
Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,465 people
- By 2030
- 109,968 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 99,205 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 87,979 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 65,100 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 47,117 · -58.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oswego
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.13%
- Current HPI
- 294.1918
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-53.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $79,800 CNYIS
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-05-10 Price Changed $89,900 CNYIS
- 2024-12-19 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2024-12-19 Price Changed $97,800 CNYIS
- 2024-08-16 Pending — CNYIS
- 2024-08-12 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2024-06-14 Listed $109,900 CNYIS
- 2024-05-31 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2024-04-25 Price Changed $124,900 CNYIS
- 2023-07-27 Price Changed $129,900 CNYIS
- 2023-06-23 Listed $169,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+87.6%/yrLatest (2024): $2,442 · -46.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…