3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,312 sqft ·
Built 2015
· Other
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,189/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$156
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$443/mo
Annual
$5,312/yr
Cap rate
14.46%
Cash-on-cash
29.19%
DSCR
2.30
1% rule
1.83%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#269 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Smith County School District (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #55 of 130 in MS (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Raleigh Elementary School (math 23% / reading 39%, grade F, #185 of 375 statewide, top 49%, 587 students, 100% FRL); Raleigh High School (math 47% / reading 35%, grade F, #49 of 197 statewide, top 25%, 442 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 58% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP.
Smith County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QQP43VFZ7XM2YG
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29