3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,093/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$229
Net cashflow
$22/mo
Annual
$262/yr
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.67%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($262/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (21.9% below list).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Forest Area Community Schools (rural): math 16% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #438 of 540 in MI (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Kalkaska County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kalkaska County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QRMXGV5MPT3Z1G
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29