2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 417 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$986/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$176
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$-25/mo
Annual
$-305/yr
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.91%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-305/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (3.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (17.7% below list).
It's been on market 417 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $99k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#330 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, commute F.
Massena Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #456 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 417 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QYMR0C05QN49ZP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29